Tag Archives: vat-gap

VAT in the Digital Age (ViDA)

By   16 December 2024
0

EU Member States (MS) recently agreed the much-discussed ViDA package. Since Brexit, this does not directly affect the UK, however, it is an important pointer to the future and where we are all heading, so it will impact the UK in some ways.

The ViDA package (or a version of the finalised package) was first discussed in 2022 and has gone through a tortuous process before all MS agreed it.

What is ViDA?

ViDA aims to tackle what have been identified as three main challenges:

  • Real-time digital reporting

The new system introduces real-time digital reporting for cross-border trade, based on e-invoicing. It will give MS the information they need to increase the fight against VAT fraud, especially carousel fraud. The VAT Gap – the difference between expected and actual VAT revenue, has been widening across the EU over a number of years.

It is said that the move to e-invoicing will help reduce VAT fraud by up to €11 billion a year and bring down administrative and compliance costs for EU businesses by over €4.1 billion per year over the next ten years. It should ensure that existing national systems converge across the EU, and this should pave the way for EU countries that wish to introduce national digital reporting systems for domestic trade.

More on e-invoicing here.

  • Updated rules for the platform economy

Technological and business developments, especially in e-commerce, mean that VAT rules have struggled to keep pace. Under the new rules, platforms facilitating supplies in the passenger transport and short-term accommodation sectors will become responsible for collecting and remitting VAT to tax authorities when their users do not, for example because they are a small business or individual providers.

This will ensure a uniform approach across all MS and contribute to a level playing field between online and traditional short-term accommodation and transport services. It will also simplify life for SMEs who currently need to understand and comply with the VAT rules, often in different EU countries.

  • Single VAT registration

Building on the already existing VAT One Stop Shop (OSS) model for e-commerce, the package allows more businesses selling to consumers in another MSs to fulfil their VAT obligations via an online portal in one EU country. Further measures to improve the collection of VAT include making the Import One Stop Shop (IOSS) mandatory for certain platforms facilitating sales by persons established outside the EU to consumers in the EU.

Commentary

Many countries worldwide already have versions of e-invoicing and real-time reporting or plan to introduce them. Businesses operating in the EU will need to consider how the new rules impact them and what changes are needed for; systems, procedures, tax declarations, along with the commercial implications.

ViDA should result in a more harmonised VAT system and the UK will need to keep in step in order to avoid becoming even more of a commercial outlier.

The UK has also confirmed a consultation on e-invoicing so lessons which can be taken from ViDA will undoubtably inform the UK process.

VAT: Mind the gap – HMRC latest figures

By   24 June 2024
0

GOV.UK has published details of the most recent measurement of the tax gap for 2022-20223.

What is the tax gap?

The tax gap is measured by comparing the net tax total theoretical liability with tax actually paid. This is comparing the amount of tax HMRC expected to receive in the UK and the amount HMRC actually received.

The figures

The tax gap is estimated to be 4.8% of total theoretical tax liabilities, or £39.8 billion in absolute terms, in the 2022 to 2023 tax year.

Total theoretical tax liabilities for the year were £823.8 billion.

There has been a long-term reduction in the tax gap as a proportion of theoretical liabilities: the tax gap reduced from 7.4% in the tax year 2005 to 2006 to 4.8% in the tax year 2022 to 2023.

While most of the components follow a downward trend, with the largest proportionate fall between 2005 to 2006 and 2022 to 2023 in the VAT gap, falling from 13.7% to 4.9%, the Corporation Tax gap estimate has increased from 11.4% in 2005 to 2006 to 13.9% in 2022 to 2023.

The Corporation Tax gap share has increased from 17% of the overall tax gap in 2018 to 2019 to 34% in 2022 to 2023, while the share of the tax gap from VAT has fallen from 28% of the overall tax gap in 2018 to 2019 to 20% in 2022 to 2023. The Income Tax, NICs and Capital Gains Tax gap share decreased from 39% to 34% over the last 5 years.

The tax gap from small businesses is the largest component of the tax gap by customer group at a 60% share in 2022 to 2023; the tax gap from wealthy and individuals each make up a low proportion of the tax gap at 5% each in 2022 to 2023

The VAT gap

VAT represents 20% of the overall tax gap.

The VAT tax gap is 4.9%.

There are several approaches to measuring tax gaps. VAT and excise duties gaps are mainly estimated using a ‘top-down’ approach, by comparing the implied tax due from consumer expenditure data with tax receipts. Most other components are estimated using a ‘bottom-up’ approach, based on HMRC’s operational data and management information.

A top-down approach uses independent, external data on consumption to estimate the tax base. The tax base is used to calculate a theoretical value of tax that should be paid. The actual amount of tax paid is subtracted from this theoretical value to estimate the tax gap.

VAT: Mind the gap – HMRC latest figures

By   23 June 2023
0

GOV.UK has published details of the most recent measurement of the tax gap for 2021-2022.

What is the tax gap?

The tax gap is measured by comparing the net tax total theoretical liability with tax actually paid. This is comparing the amount of tax HMRC expected to receive in the UK and the amount HMRC actually received.

The figures

The tax gap is estimated to be 4.8% of total theoretical tax liabilities, or £35.8 billion in absolute terms, in the 2021 to 2022 tax year.

Total theoretical tax liabilities for the year were £739.3 billion.

There has been a long-term reduction in the tax gap as a proportion of theoretical liabilities: the tax gap reduced from 7.5% in the tax year 2005 to 2006 to 4.8% in 2021 to 2022 – remaining low and stable between the years 2017 to 2018 and 2021 to 2022.

Criminal activity and evasion accounted for £4.1billion loss in tax collected.

30% of all underpayments of tax were due to a failure to take reasonable care, while 13% of instances were down to evasion.

A massive 56% of the tax gap is made up by small businesses (up from 40% of the total in 2017-18). Whether this is down to HMRC improving collection from large businesses or an increasing failure to crack down on small business is a moot point. It remains to be seen how HMRC react to this new information, but experience insists that small businesses may expect increased attention for the authorities.

The VAT gap

VAT represents 21% of the overall tax gap.

The VAT tax gap is 5.4%.

The absolute VAT gap is £7.6 billion.

The VAT gap has reduced from 14.0% of theoretical VAT liability in 2005 to 2006 to 5.4% in 2021 to 2022.

More than two thirds of the theoretical VAT liability was estimated to be from household consumption. The remainder came from the expenditure by businesses that supply goods and services where the VAT is non-recoverable (they are exempt from VAT), and from the government and housing sectors.

Information on the method used to estimate the VAT gap is here for those interested (I don’t imagine that there will be that many…).

So, £7.6 millions of VAT is missing. That seems an awful lot.

VAT: The tax gap was £35bn in 2019/20

By   17 September 2021
0

HMRC has published details of the tax gap for 2019/20. This is the gap between the expected tax that should be paid to HMRC and what is actually paid. The headline was that the tax gap was 5.3%. which represents an estimated £35 billion.

Total tax liabilities for the year were £674 billion.

What is the tax gap?

The tax gap is the difference between the amount of tax that should, in theory, be paid to HMRC, and what is actually paid.

Why is it measured?

The tax gap provides tool for understanding the relative size and nature of non-compliance. This understanding can be applied in many different ways:

  • it provides a foundation for HMRC’s strategy – considering the tax gap helps the government to understand how non-compliance occurs and how it can be addressed
  • the analysis provides insight into which strategies are most effective at reducing the tax gap
  • it provides important information which helps HMRC understand its long-term performance
  • provides information to the public on tax compliance, creating greater transparency in the tax system.

Why is there a tax gap?

The tax gap arises for a number of reasons. Some taxpayers make simple errors in calculating the tax that they owe, despite their best efforts, while others don’t take enough care when they submit their returns. Legal interpretation, evasion, avoidance and criminal attacks on the tax system also result in a tax gap.

Analysis

Around £3.7 billion of the gap is estimated to be due to error and £3 billion due to the hidden economy.

The tax gap for wealthy individuals fell from £1.6 billion in 2018/19 to £1.5 billion in 2019/20

£15.1 billion of the gap is attributed to small businesses and £6.1 billion is attributed to large businesses, with £5 billion attributed to medium-sized firms.

Taxpayers paid more than £633.4 billion in tax during 2019/20, an increase of more than £100 billion since 2015/16, when the total revenue paid was £532.5 billion.

The tax gap for Income Tax, National Insurance contributions and Capital Gains Tax is 3.5% in 2019 to 2020 at £12.6 billion which represents the largest share of the total tax gap by type of tax.

VAT

The VAT gap was estimated to be £12.3 billion in tax year 2019 to 2020. This equates to 8.4% of net VAT total theoretical liability.

The VAT gap has increased from 7.0% in tax year 2018 to 2019 to 8.4% in 2019 to 2020. Growth in VAT receipts (1.8%) was slower than the growth in the net VAT total theoretical liability (3.3%).

Behaviour

HMRC estimate that the causes of the tax gap are:

  • Failure to take reasonable care £6.7bn 19%
  • Legal interpretation £5.8bn 16%
  • Evasion £5.5bn 15%
  • Criminal attacks £5.2bn 15%
  • Non-payment £4bn 11%
  • Error £3.7bn 10%
  • Hidden economy £3bn 8%
  • Avoidance £1.5bn 4%

Taxpayers

Tax gap by taxpayer groups:

  • Small businesses £15.1bn 43%
  • Large businesses £6.1bn 17%
  • Criminals £5.2bn 15%
  • Mid-sized businesses £5.0bn 14%
  • Individuals £2.6bn 7%
  • Wealthy £1.5bn 4%

The impact on the tax gap from the coronavirus lockdowns and economic downturn is likely to be first seen in the 2020/21 figures, which will be released next year. It will also be interesting to see how the fallout from Brexit is covered (if at all).

VAT EU Gap Report

By   5 September 2019
0

Mind the gap

EU countries lost €137 billion in VAT revenues in 2017 according to a study released by the EC on 5 September 2019. The VAT Gap has slightly reduced compared to previous years but remains very high.

This gap represents a loss of 11.2% of the total expected VAT revenue.

During 2017, collected VAT revenues increased at a faster rate of 4.1% than the 2.8% increase of VAT Total Tax Liability (VTTL). As a result, the overall VAT Gap in the EU Member States saw a decrease in absolute values of about EUR 8 billion or 11.2% in percentage terms.

Member States in the EU are losing billions of Euros in VAT revenues because of tax fraud and inadequate tax collection systems according to the latest report. The VAT Gap, which is the difference between expected VAT revenues and VAT actually collected, provides an estimate of revenue loss due to tax fraud, tax evasion and tax avoidance, but also due to bankruptcies, financial insolvencies or miscalculations.

In 2017, Member States’ VAT Gaps ranged from 0.6% in Cyprus, 0.7% in Luxembourg, and 1.5% in Sweden to 35.5% in Romania and 33.6% in Greece. Half of EU-28 MS recorded a Gap above 10.1%.

Overall, the VAT Gap as percentage of the VTTL decreased in 25 Member States, with the largest improvements noted in Malta, Poland, and Cyprus and increased in three – namely Greece, Latvia, and Germany.

The variations of VAT Gaps between the Member States reflect the existing differences in terms of; tax compliance, fraud, avoidance, bankruptcies, insolvencies and tax administration.  Other circumstances could also have an impact on the size of the VAT Gap such as economic developments and the quality of national statistics.

The UK

In the year 2017, in the UK the VTTL was £158421 millions of which £141590 millions was actually collected. This leaves a VAT gap for the UK of £16831 millions which represents 11% of the amount which is estimated was due to HMRC. About a mid-table performance compared to other Member States.